NZD/USD technical analysis: 38.2% Fibo. holds the key to 0.6448/52 resistance confluence

• NZD/USD again pulls back from 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
• 100-day EMA, September month high becomes the key confluence to watch during further upside.
• 50-day EMA acts as nearby support.

Having registered another failure to cross 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of July-October declines, the NZD/USD pair declines to 0.6417 during early Thursday.

The pair now indicates a re-test of a 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) level of 0.6374, a break of which can strength bears to target 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level around 0.6340 and 0.6300 round-figure.

Alternatively, pair’s sustained break above 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, at 0.6431, will accelerate the run-up to 0.6448/52 resistance-confluence including 100-day EMA and September month high.

That said, the buyers could target 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement levels, near 0.6500 and 0.6570 respectively, during the pair’s further upside beyond 0.6452.

It should also be noted that momentum indicators like 14-bar Relative Strength Index (RSI) and 12-bar Moving Average Convergence and Divergence (MACD) are in support of further upside.

NZD/USD daily chart

Trend: pullback expected